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Just a quarterly reminder that the links above this welcome section are up there for a reason - check them out if you haven’t already.

We hear a lot of people talk about product-market fit, but we haven’t found many useful frameworks to think more clearly about all of the obstacles you need to overcome to find PMF.

A friend recommended we read Sequoia’s Arc framework, that’s what we did, and it’s now our go-to resource on the subject.

We’re breaking it down in today’s piece.

Today’s highlights

  • Sequoia’s PMF framework

  • Inside OpenAI’s upcoming round

  • What Forerunner looks for

  • What happens if carried interest tax treatment changes

TOP
The Arc PMF framework 📈

This framework comes from Sequoia, and their deep dive on it is worth reading.

Here are the high-level takeaways for each of the paths shown above:

Hair on fire

  • Customers are in comparison shopping mode

  • Huge amounts of competition = low pricing power = massive market required

  • How can you create a differentiated customer experience?

  • Noise is your biggest sales obstacle

  • Being outcompeted is your biggest risk

Hard fact

  • Latent demand exists, but you have to find it

  • Less crowded market

  • You need to overcome habits and attitudes of the accepted status quo

  • How can you create an epiphany in your customer’s mind to unlock your value prop?

Future vision

  • Customer either has no context on the problem or they assume it’s beyond the realm of reality

  • Little-to-no competition

  • Winning market share is less important than gaining initial adoption

  • Maintaining market share if / when you grow creates real pricing power

GP / LP Mastermind
The “anti-conference” for fund managers 🌴

We don’t like conferences, so we created our own version that we would actually look forward to going to.

  • Small group of 6-10 LPs, GPs, and partners

  • Golf and padel

  • Boat charter

  • Private dinners

  • No outside sponsors

We only have space for 6-10, and applications close next month.

If you’re interested, we’d recommend letting us know sooner rather than later …

HEADLINES

  • Carried interest repeal could stifle investments in startups, NVCA says (TechCrunch)

  • $1B per day: OpenAI’s upcoming round underscores unparalleled valuation growth (Pitchbook)

  • Former Hollywood exec and startup banker team up for new seed fund (Pitchbook)

  • What Forerunner Ventures Looks for in Consumer Startups: Vision, Magnetism, and Unfair Advantages (Inc.)

  • New Hamilton Lane fund “democratizes” access to VC (VCJ)

POLL

Which of the PMF paths shown above is most interesting to you from an investment perspective?

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