📶 the end of SaaS

The case for software-as-a-weapon, StepStone's massive bet on the liquidity crunch, how marketplaces win, and some trends changing the future of work

Today’s sponsor

Good morning 👋

Some things are bigger than this newsletter, and the current situation happening in the South is one of those things.

For those who don’t know, I’m from North Carolina, so seeing the damage caused by the hurricane has been surreal. Entire towns are gone, and many of the people are currently stranded and will need to completely start over when all of the dust settles.

Put those people in your prayers, and for those of you who want to help, here’s a GoFundMe page for hurricane relief.

P.S. 💰 Are you a full-time investor?

TL;DR:

HEADLINES
SaaS is dead. Long live software-as-a-Weapon. 🗡

Sam Lessin (partner @ Slow Ventures) wrote this one-pager last week on the future of SaaS.

Spoiler alert: the outlook looks bleak, and the dream of SaaS as a "beautiful business model" has fizzled.

High churn rates, commoditization due to AI, and difficulty selling have revealed the harsh reality that SaaS isn’t the perpetual money-making machine many thought it was.

In his view, software isn’t dead, but its role has shifted.

The new job of business owners is to use software as a tool to make real-world businesses more efficient, then acquire those businesses. The value is no longer in the software itself but in leveraging it to control tangible assets.

For VCs, founders, and execs, this is a wake-up call. 

The margins and growth rates SaaS once promised are gone, and AI’s commoditization of code means that even "sticky" software can be easily replaced. The future isn’t about selling software but using it strategically.

If you can deploy software that improves operational efficiency by 20-30%, you gain a competitive edge to dominate entire industries by buying real-world businesses.

Those still clinging to SaaS-only models are likely to be left behind.

What happens next? Expect more investment in software that targets operational improvement across traditional sectors like logistics, manufacturing, and retail.

The next wave of M&A will likely focus on tech-augmented acquisitions of legacy businesses, where software is the enabler, not the end product.

Together with Intercom
Did somebody say “free customer service for your portfolio companies”? 👀 

Join Intercom’s Startup Partner Program to give your portfolio 12 months free on Intercom’s complete AI-first customer service platform.

I repeat:

  • You apply

  • You’re accepted

  • Your founders don’t pay their first year using Intercom  

Join 600+ other VC's, accelerators and startup communities such as Y Combinator, a16z and Index Ventures and start referring your founders by applying below.

STARTUPS (Together with Harmonic)
Slow Ventures companies founded in 2024 🔎

Name

Description

Built by Humans

The AI rights licensing platform for creators

Toffu

Your AI marketing teammate

We use Harmonic to get thousands of data points on companies like these. 

TWEET

HEADLINES
What else we’re reading 📖

  • StepStone’s $4.8 billion fund bets on a lasting liquidity crunch (Pitchbook)

  • Softbank to Investy $500 Million in OpenAI (The Information)

  • Artisan raises $11.5M to deploy AI ’employees’ for sales teams (Venturebeat)

  • Fertility investors look to ancillary services as platforms remain scarce (Pitchbook)

RECS

POLL

Do you agree or disagree with the "software-as-a-weapon" thesis shared above?

Login or Subscribe to participate in polls.

Thanks for reading this far and giving us a little bit of your attention this week.

Feel free to unsubscribe whenever this stops becoming valuable to you.

RESULTS

Here are the results from our poll question in yesterday’s piece:

Which trend is most interesting to invest in?

 

🟨🟨🟨🟨⬜️⬜️ “Doing more with less” becomes achievable (5)

🟨🟨🟨🟨⬜️⬜️ Leaders get into the details (4)

🟨🟨🟨🟨⬜️⬜️ Software as a Service → Software provides a service (5)

🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩 Succession planning gets urgent (6)

🟨🟨🟨🟨⬜️⬜️ Working downstream with AI (4)

🟨🟨🟨🟨⬜️⬜️ Quiet performing (5)

29 Votes

Reply

or to participate.