Good morning 👋
10 years used to enough time to deploy a fund, harvest returns, and distribute capital back to LPs.
But that was then, and this is now.
And nowadays, companies are staying private longer, and it’s forcing funds to rethink the 10-year fund lifecycle.
P.S. 💰 Are you a full-time investor AND do you want to get paid more?
Today’s highlights
The death of the 10-year fund cycle
Lessons from Doug Leone
Big names are piling into Databricks
Prompts to make better content
TOP
“When do we get our money back?”
Venture capital’s 10-year fund structure is under scrutiny.
Companies are staying private longer (especially the winners in the portfolio), with over 40% of them sitting in venture portfolios for nine years or more. As IPO markets remain closed and M&A activity slows, funds are leaning heavily on extensions and creative liquidity options like secondaries and continuation funds.
Why it matters:
1. The 10-year model is cracking. More than two-thirds of the U.S. venture market is tied up in unicorns, and their inability to exit is forcing VCs to request fund extensions or find alternative liquidity. LPs, who once expected cash within a decade, are adjusting to 11- or even 12-year horizons, which dilutes IRR and creates tension between GPs and LPs.
2. Liquidity is elusive for many unicorns. While headline unicorns like Stripe have seen their valuations skyrocket (from $20M to $70B), many others aren’t as fortunate. More than half of funds that receive extensions fail to return their remaining value by year 10. Even in private secondaries, shares often trade at significant discounts to their last valuation.
3. Unicorns have unprecedented leverage. Founders, who typically retain control, can choose to delay exits, especially when market conditions aren’t favorable. While this gives companies more runway, it leaves LPs with fewer immediate returns and raises questions about fund timelines.
What happens next: VCs are experimenting with new approaches to sidestep the IPO drought:
Secondaries markets offer liquidity but at a discount, which can undercut overall returns.
Continuation funds, more common in private equity, are gaining traction. These vehicles allow GPs to roll assets into a new fund, resetting exit timelines while giving LPs an option to cash out.
Fund extensions may become the norm as more GPs seek additional time to maximize returns. This trend could also pave the way for broader adoption of continuation funds in venture capital. However, LPs may grow more selective, prioritizing funds with proven liquidity options and faster timelines.
Together with Belay
Accomplish More. Juggle Less.
When you love what you do, it can be easy to take on more — more tasks, more deadlines, more hours – but before you know it, you don’t have time to do what you loved in the beginning. Don’t just do more – do more of what you do best.
BELAY’s flexible staffing solutions leverage industry experience with AI systems to increase productivity without sacrificing quality. You can accomplish more and juggle less with our exceptional U.S.-based Virtual Assistants, Accounting Professionals, and Marketing Assistants. Learn how with our free ebook, Delegate to Elevate, and leave the more to BELAY.
LINKS
🤗 Morgan Housel—Understand & Apply the Psychology of Money to Gain Greater Happiness: Andrew Huberman interviews Morgan Housel and the discussion is about how desiring, pursuing, saving, and spending money impact our psychology and perception of wealth
🤫 A Triumph of Mediocrity—the Dirty Secret of Executive Compensation: The current system ensures that non-performance pay always goes up, well ahead of inflation—-this is broken and needs to be fixed
5️⃣ 5 AI Prompts that I Use to Create Content for 100k+ Readers: Peter Yang walks us through his 8-minute video that shows his exact AI workflows to save time and create content
📋 Mastering OKRs in 2025: Mostly Metrics shares a tactical guide to mastering Objectives and Key Results
🩹 Duct Tape: Duct tape is an interim solution for founders that they know is not permanent , but lets them focus on some of the other holes first
TWEET
HEADLINES
What Is Venture Capital Now Anyway? (NYT)
Kleiner Perkins, Founders Fund, Softbank to Invest in Databricks’ $7 Billion Fundraising (The Information)
If ServiceTitan can go public, so can you (Pitchbook)
G2 Ventures Partners is raising $750 million for a third fund (TechCrunch)
MEME
COMMUNITY
”A luck generator” for anybody working in venture 👥
Because who doesn’t like getting lucky …
RECS
Superpower: The most-useful health membership I use with 100 lab tests, health dashboard, a full hour review with their medical team
POLL
Is 10 years enough time for venture funds to return capital back to LPs today?
Thanks for reading this far and giving us a little bit of your attention this week.
Feel free to unsubscribe whenever this stops becoming valuable to you.
- Clay
"I can't believe I didn't upgrade sooner ..."
Become a Pro reader to get access to the rest of this post plus a LOT of other stuff we don't share with our other readers ...
UpgradeA subscription gets you:
- Deal flow reports
- Ultimate VC Resource Library
- Private Airtable databases
- Behind-the-scenes updates
- Private consulting call
- Early access to new products




